225-0935/03 – Theory of desicion making and risks of biuldings (TRaRS)
| Gurantor department | Department of Building Constructions | Credits | 4 |
| Subject guarantor | Ing. Pavel Vlček, Ph.D. | Subject version guarantor | Ing. Pavel Vlček, Ph.D. |
| Study level | undergraduate or graduate | Requirement | Compulsory |
| Year | 1 | Semester | summer |
| | Study language | Czech |
| Year of introduction | 2015/2016 | Year of cancellation | 2021/2022 |
| Intended for the faculties | FAST | Intended for study types | Follow-up Master |
Subject aims expressed by acquired skills and competences
The goal is to introduce theoretical rudiments and practical skills in decision-making processes and risk management
in civil engineering and to introduce a practical analysis of process risks in subsequent projects (Project I and
Project II) depending on specialisation - the building process, risk probability, maintenance and construction
(all this in Project I and II). Check: a final test and a combined test.
Planned learning activities and teaching methods
Teaching methods
Lectures
Summary
1. The basic definition of risk. Portfolio risk . Time and space. Hazard identification ,
qualification danger , risk quantification .
2. Basic concepts : the phenomenon and the event; danger and hazard scenario , the field hazards;
probability and possibility ; injury and damage .
3. Types of risk and risk analysis .
4. Risks investor , developer, builder , designer , contractor and subcontractors.
Risks of third parties.
5. The project , object, process , segments of the project , sources of danger.
The dependence between phenomena and events ( existential , sequencing , statistical) .
6. Methods for controlling risks in the design and supply company .
7. Expert methods of FMEA, Umra . Decision-making methods , decision trees , probability,
reliability , histograms .
8. SWOT analysis.
9. Decision-making in technical practice, and practical use.
10. The use of experts , expert and expert activities , defects, damage and expression
time independent of the size of the damage (practical examples ) .
11. Allocation of risk of project documentation , risks in the construction, the risk of these
processes linked to input , process and output quality control of risks in the maintenance
of the building.
12. The warranty period of the object in relation to the risk of changes to the risk assessment of the state of objects on the principles of risk analysis.
13. Determining the probability (or frequency ) of occurrence of risks appointed by each process
and quantify the consequences , insurable and uninsurable risks in construction.
14. Possible risks of operational accidents , simulation of elementary tasks.
15. Recap .
Compulsory literature:
The literature on this issue
FEGLAR, Tom, Jason K. LEVY, Tatiana FEGLAR a Tomas FEGLAR. Advances in decision analysis and systems engineering for managing large-scale enterprises in a volatile world: Integrating Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks (BOCR) with the Business Motivation Model (BMM). Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2006, roč. 15, č. 2, s. 141-153. DOI: 10.1007/s11518-006-5003-9. available from: http://www.springerlink.com/index/10.1007/s11518-006-5003-9
AZIMI, Reza, Abdolreza YAZDANI-CHAMZINI, Mohammad Majid FOULADGAR, Edmundas Kazimieras ZAVADSKAS a Mohammad Hossein BASIRI. Ranking the strategies of mining sector through anp and topsis in a swot framework. Journal of Business Economics and Management. 2011, roč. 12, č. 4, s. 670-689. DOI: 10.3846/16111699.2011.626552. available from: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.3846/16111699.2011.626552
DUCHELLE, Amy E., Manuel R. GUARIGUATA, Giuliano LESS, Marco Antonio ALBORNOZ, Andrea CHAVEZ a Tadeu MELO. Evaluating the opportunities and limitations to multiple use of Brazil nuts and timber in Western Amazonia. Forest Ecology and Management. 2012, roč. 268, s. 39-48. DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2011.05.023. available from: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0378112711002969
YUAN, Hongping. A SWOT analysis of successful construction waste management. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2013, roč. 39, s. 1-8. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.08.016. available from: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959652612004234
Recommended literature:
FEGLAR, Tom, Jason K. LEVY, Tatiana FEGLAR a Tomas FEGLAR. Advances in decision analysis and systems engineering for managing large-scale enterprises in a volatile world: Integrating Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks (BOCR) with the Business Motivation Model (BMM). Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering. 2006, roč. 15, č. 2, s. 141-153. DOI: 10.1007/s11518-006-5003-9. available from: http://www.springerlink.com/index/10.1007/s11518-006-5003-9
AZIMI, Reza, Abdolreza YAZDANI-CHAMZINI, Mohammad Majid FOULADGAR, Edmundas Kazimieras ZAVADSKAS a Mohammad Hossein BASIRI. Ranking the strategies of mining sector through anp and topsis in a swot framework. Journal of Business Economics and Management. 2011, roč. 12, č. 4, s. 670-689. DOI: 10.3846/16111699.2011.626552. available from: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.3846/16111699.2011.626552
DUCHELLE, Amy E., Manuel R. GUARIGUATA, Giuliano LESS, Marco Antonio ALBORNOZ, Andrea CHAVEZ a Tadeu MELO. Evaluating the opportunities and limitations to multiple use of Brazil nuts and timber in Western Amazonia. Forest Ecology and Management. 2012, roč. 268, s. 39-48. DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2011.05.023. available from: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0378112711002969
YUAN, Hongping. A SWOT analysis of successful construction waste management. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2013, roč. 39, s. 1-8. DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2012.08.016. available from: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959652612004234
Way of continuous check of knowledge in the course of semester
There are no additional requirements for students
E-learning
There are no additional requirements for students
Other requirements
There are no additional requirements for students
Prerequisities
Subject has no prerequisities.
Co-requisities
Subject has no co-requisities.
Subject syllabus:
Basic terms: phenomenon and event, danger and danger scenario, danger field; probability and chances; damage and
loss. Uncertainties and vaguenesses. Basic definition of the risk. Risk portfolio. Time and space. Project, object,
process; project segments, sources of danger. Links between events and phenomena (in terms of existence, sequence
and statistics). Identification of a danger, qualification of a danger, and quantification of risks. Types of risk.
Risks borne by the investor, developer, building firm, designer, supplier and subsuppliers. Risks borne by third
parties. Methods used to control risks in a designing firm/supplier. FMEA and UMRA as expert methods. Decision-making
methods, decision-making trees, using Monte Carlo in simulations, a direct determined probabilistic calculation,
applications in analyses and management of risks. Using in practice. Decision-making criteria in technical and
economic practice. Using experts. Allocation of risks in project documentation. Risks in the construction system.
Risks in processes and their links to entry control, inter-operation control and final control of risk quality
in maintenance of building and facilities, insurance covered and non-covered risks in construction. Determining
the probability (or frequency) of occurrence of certain risks in individual processes and quantification of risks
consequences, possible risks in operation accidents. Simulation of elementary tasks. Required safety in specific
stages of designing, production, erection, operation and maintenance processes. Practical analysis of process risks
in subsequent works (Project I and Project II) depending on specialisation.
Conditions for subject completion
Occurrence in study plans
Occurrence in special blocks
Assessment of instruction