545-0943/01 – Forecasting Economic Development of Enterprises (PEVP)

Gurantor departmentDepartment of Economics and Control SystemsCredits10
Subject guarantorprof. Ing. Jaroslav Dvořáček, CSc.Subject version guarantorprof. Ing. Jaroslav Dvořáček, CSc.
Study levelpostgraduateRequirementChoice-compulsory
YearSemesterwinter + summer
Study languageCzech
Year of introduction2016/2017Year of cancellation
Intended for the facultiesHGFIntended for study typesDoctoral
Instruction secured by
LoginNameTuitorTeacher giving lectures
DVO30 prof. Ing. Jaroslav Dvořáček, CSc.
Extent of instruction for forms of study
Form of studyWay of compl.Extent
Full-time Examination 20+0
Combined Examination 20+0

Subject aims expressed by acquired skills and competences

Subject goal: application of forecasting of enterprise economic development in the field of management and planning activities, trade relations and evaluation of mining industry projects. Knowledge and skills: knowledge of basic prognostic methods and their utilisation on the enterprise level. Ability of development analyses with target of finding trend and mechanism of this development. Content orientation: importance of forecasting, forecasting in mining industry, forecasting of own enterprise development and its business partners development.

Teaching methods

Individual consultations

Summary

Subject familiarizes with role of forecasting in the course of historical development and with importance of forecasting in decision making process and in managerial process. It presents four basic groups of forecasting methods. Subject introduces results of most popular predictions.

Compulsory literature:

Dvořáček J.: Forecasting. 2007. HGF VŠB-TU Ostrava. Evans M. K.: Practical business forecasting. 2002. Oxford: Blackwell

Recommended literature:

Dvořáček J.: Prognostika. 1996. Regionální středisko výchovy a vzdělávání Most. Clements M. P., Hendry D. F. (ed.): A Companion to Economic Forecasting. 2004. Wiley Online Library.

Way of continuous check of knowledge in the course of semester

E-learning

Další požadavky na studenta

Writing a semestral work on a selected topic.

Prerequisities

Subject has no prerequisities.

Co-requisities

Subject has no co-requisities.

Subject syllabus:

1. Importance and problems of forecasting, evolution forecasting. 2. Forecasting and strategic management of enterprises. 3. Limits of forecasting. 4. Long term forecasting, megatrends. 5. Methods of forecasting, basic structure. 6. Forecasting based on subjection opinions. 7. Forecasting based on quantitative approaches. 8. Forecasting based on systematic approaches. 9. Application of forecasting methods on forecast develop of enterprise. 10. Forecasting supply and demand on trend of raw materials. 11. Forecasting trend of price of raw materials. 12. Forecasting economic development of business partners, estimation of their threats of bankruptcy.

Conditions for subject completion

Combined form (validity from: 2016/2017 Winter semester)
Task nameType of taskMax. number of points
(act. for subtasks)
Min. number of points
Examination Examination  
Mandatory attendence parzicipation:

Show history

Occurrence in study plans

Academic yearProgrammeField of studySpec.FormStudy language Tut. centreYearWSType of duty
2019/2020 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources P Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2019/2020 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources K Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2018/2019 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources P Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2018/2019 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources K Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2017/2018 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources P Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2017/2018 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources K Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2016/2017 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources P Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan
2016/2017 (P3970) Management of systems in the field of mineral resources K Czech Ostrava Choice-compulsory study plan

Occurrence in special blocks

Block nameAcademic yearForm of studyStudy language YearWSType of blockBlock owner