545-0943/01 – Forecasting Economic Development of Enterprises (PEVP)
| Gurantor department | Department of Economics and Control Systems | Credits | 10 |
| Subject guarantor | prof. Ing. Jaroslav Dvořáček, CSc. | Subject version guarantor | prof. Ing. Jaroslav Dvořáček, CSc. |
| Study level | postgraduate | Requirement | Choice-compulsory |
| Year | | Semester | winter + summer |
| | Study language | Czech |
| Year of introduction | 2016/2017 | Year of cancellation | |
| Intended for the faculties | HGF | Intended for study types | Doctoral |
Subject aims expressed by acquired skills and competences
Subject goal: application of forecasting of enterprise economic development in the field of management and planning activities, trade relations and evaluation of mining industry projects. Knowledge and skills: knowledge of basic prognostic methods and their utilisation on the enterprise level. Ability of development analyses with target of finding trend and mechanism of this development.
Content orientation: importance of forecasting, forecasting in mining industry, forecasting of own enterprise development and its business partners development.
Teaching methods
Individual consultations
Summary
Subject familiarizes with role of forecasting in the course of historical development and with importance of forecasting in decision making process and in managerial process. It presents four basic groups of forecasting methods. Subject introduces results of most popular predictions.
Compulsory literature:
Dvořáček J.: Forecasting. 2007. HGF VŠB-TU Ostrava.
Evans M. K.: Practical business forecasting. 2002. Oxford: Blackwell
Recommended literature:
Dvořáček J.: Prognostika. 1996. Regionální středisko výchovy a vzdělávání Most.
Clements M. P., Hendry D. F. (ed.): A Companion to Economic Forecasting. 2004. Wiley Online Library.
Additional study materials
Way of continuous check of knowledge in the course of semester
Oral examination.
E-learning
Other requirements
Writing a semestral work on a selected topic.
Prerequisities
Subject has no prerequisities.
Co-requisities
Subject has no co-requisities.
Subject syllabus:
1. Importance and problems of forecasting, evolution forecasting.
2. Forecasting and strategic management of enterprises.
3. Limits of forecasting.
4. Long term forecasting, megatrends.
5. Methods of forecasting, basic structure.
6. Forecasting based on subjection opinions.
7. Forecasting based on quantitative approaches.
8. Forecasting based on systematic approaches.
9. Application of forecasting methods on forecast develop of enterprise.
10. Forecasting supply and demand on trend of raw materials.
11. Forecasting trend of price of raw materials.
12. Forecasting economic development of business partners, estimation of their threats of bankruptcy.
Conditions for subject completion
Occurrence in study plans
Occurrence in special blocks
Assessment of instruction
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